For as long as elections have taken place someone has tried to predict what might happen. From polls to prediction models, uncertainty is always inevitable. What’s the best way to do it?
00:00 - What’s the best way to predict elections? 00:48 - How were elections predicted in the past? 02:36 - How do modern day polls work? 04:32 - Why polls miss the mark 07:14 - How does statistical modelling work? 08:30 - The French election model
See the data behind The Economist's French election model: github.com/TheEconomist/2022-france-election-model